Social Science Frontiers, 7. izdajaRussell Sage Foundation., 1976 |
Vsebina
Introduction | 1 |
Critical Assessments of the Methods | 13 |
Evaluating Assumptions | 51 |
Avtorske pravice | |
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aggregate algorithmic allocation analogy forecasting application approach areas aspects of social assumptions attitudes clinical prediction clinicians complex concepts constraints criterion analysis curve fitting Delphi method Dennis Meadows difficulties Durbin-Watson statistic dynamic programming econometric models economic empirical environmental prediction estimates evaluation experts explicit extrapolative forecasting factor analysis forecast accuracy forecast information forecasting effort forecasting method selection forecasting procedure identify individual intuitive forecasting intuitive planning Jay Forrester kind limited Limits to Growth logistic curves mathematical measures Mesarovic and Pestel methodological mode of forecasting modelling forecasting multicollinearity needs for forecast network analysis number of variables operationalization operations research optimal parameters patterns policymakers possible predictive social laws regression regression analysis scientific social forecasting methodology social forecasting methods social forecasting problems social processes social science societal specific statistical survey forecasting systematic Technological Forecasting tests theoretical forecasting theoretical planning theory types of forecasting user needs validity York